Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.173368 0.203985 0.238176 0.279157 0.326910 0.380767 0.446093
2025-10-12 0.135139 0.176787 0.228157 0.296035 0.383227 0.491327 0.635395
2025-10-19 0.110592 0.156537 0.217533 0.304133 0.423604 0.582279 0.808670
2025-10-26 0.091793 0.138705 0.204891 0.304588 0.450409 0.655267 0.964201
2025-11-02 0.075491 0.120843 0.188346 0.295441 0.460291 0.703472 1.088249
2025-11-09 0.061866 0.104376 0.170799 0.281254 0.459298 0.733734 1.187089
2025-11-16 0.053993 0.095533 0.163359 0.281028 0.478721 0.795671 1.339811
2025-11-23 0.046198 0.085503 0.152397 0.273169 0.484114 0.834991 1.459415
2025-11-30 0.041876 0.080777 0.149550 0.278332 0.511386 0.912242 1.649284
2025-12-07 0.037457 0.075176 0.144329 0.278410 0.529386 0.975018 1.820130
2025-12-14 0.032828 0.068470 0.136158 0.271895 0.534375 1.014914 1.953702
2025-12-21 0.029420 0.063644 0.130846 0.269970 0.547391 1.070124 2.120253
2025-12-28 0.027818 0.062487 0.132942 0.283645 0.593757 1.195538 2.439387
2026-01-04 0.026594 0.061987 0.136378 0.300673 0.649295 1.345482 2.824870
2026-01-11 0.024673 0.059652 0.135655 0.308884 0.687723 1.465818 3.164693
2026-01-18 0.022348 0.056017 0.131613 0.309345 0.709722 1.555027 3.450266
2026-01-25 0.019607 0.050957 0.123689 0.300060 0.709262 1.597157 3.640929
2026-02-01 0.016897 0.045522 0.114125 0.285659 0.695408 1.608800 3.766415
2026-02-08 0.015397 0.042887 0.110783 0.285429 0.713983 1.693326 4.062470
2026-02-15 0.013641 0.039295 0.104606 0.277451 0.713172 1.733949 4.262765
2026-02-22 0.012762 0.037920 0.103779 0.282692 0.744996 1.852974 4.658151
2026-03-01 0.011721 0.035927 0.101084 0.282772 0.763948 1.943545 4.995246
2026-03-08 0.010501 0.033216 0.096107 0.276158 0.764981 1.990914 5.232049